Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Your Christmas Forecast & A Look Back At Last Christmas.

Saturday December 24th 2011


From Meteorologist Brian Davis:

Good Christmas Week Everyone! 

**Will be off this week, but here is the latest forecast for Christmas as of Friday December 23rd. Check back as the Radars, Cams, and Data will remain current. 

Your Christmas Forecast:  Christmas Eve, Increasing Clouds this evening and Chilly with rain showers, Highs around 50. Christmas Eve Night, Cloudy, Rain showers late, Low around 35. Christmas Day, Rain showers in the morning and early afternoon and then slowly clearing off in the evening, Highs in the mid 50s, Lows around 29. Sunday, another system approaches bringing some heavy rain over the area. 

Latest Critical Thickness Model Shows Cold Air To Far North For Any Major Winter Event On Christmas. These are layers of height thickness at or below freezing that are needed to support various winter precipitation. The purple areas are a background of where the moisture will be.  The lines up above us represent each critical layer of thickness that would be needed for sleet, snow, etc. Notice they are all well above us and to the north on Christmas. 

Today's Weather: Both Friday and Saturday, Mostly Cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 40s, Lows in the lower 30s. 


Our Next Rain Chance: Christmas Eve will bring our next chance of rain. Rain will Gradually move out on Christmas Day with Chilly temperatures. **7 Day Forecast Below**

A Current Look At National Radar.



Here is the current Radar in motion:

Your Current 7 Day Forecast

From Meteorologist Brian Davis:

The December the 25th Christmas storm was amazing as some areas reported unofficially as much as 14 inches in parts of northwest Alabama. Last year's snow event was the largest white Christmas since 1963. I am sure this will raise the question as to whether there will be a white Christmas this year. Interesting enough, there is a system that will be coming through the Tennessee Valley, but chances look slim. With that being said, anytime models indicate a system this far out, the situation can change. There is absolutely no way to say for sure this far away, but when I put over 30 years of living in the Tennessee Valley with what I am seeing on the long range forecasts, It does tend to raise the probability over the normal background noise of statistics for a White Christmas and that would be all I would say about it for now being this far away. In the meantime, let's reflect on last years Christmas Snow event. Here are some pictures I archived from all over the area on the 25th of 2010:

Tupelo, MS Dec. 25TH


Oxford, MS Dec. 25TH


Huntsville, Al Dec. 25TH


Nashville, TN Dec 25TH


Chattanooga, TN Dec. 25TH


Florence, Al Dec. 25TH


Here is a look at some cameras from the west: Refresh page for latest live shot

Columbus Mississippi:


Oxford Mississippi, 100 miles west of the Shoals:


Southaven (Just south of Memphis, TN)

A Current Look At Any Watches Or Warnings: 




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